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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpGrokEnjoyer
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)53% (301–263, n=564)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$52K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #16PM monthly #837
Sides with the consensus81% (29 of 36 open)75% (88 of 117 open)66% (31 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=183
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%55% of 588 at avg 53¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)29% (won 9% of 172)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)14% (won 47% of 85)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)21% (won 60% of 121)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)36% (won 92% of 210)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpGrokEnjoyer
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421K—No $14K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $29K—No $50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $273Bilibili Gaming $1.2K