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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpGrokEnjoyerRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)53% (301–263, n=564)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$52K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #16PM monthly #837PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus81% (29 of 36 open)76% (90 of 119 open)66% (31 of 47 open)56% (31 of 55 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=183—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%55% of 588 at avg 53¢, ROI +1%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)29% (won 9% of 172)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)14% (won 47% of 85)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)21% (won 60% of 121)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)36% (won 92% of 210)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

28 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpGrokEnjoyerRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Will Club León FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6.4K—Yes $98
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Spread: Celtics (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $3.2K—Celtics $12
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Penguins vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
—Penguins $14—Ducks $1.5K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $994—Over $11
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6—Over $29
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421K—No $14K—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $17K—Coco Gauff $58K
Heat vs. Kings
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $11K—Heat $30K
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $12K——Bears $20K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $29K—No $50—
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $16K—No $1.2K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $5.9K—Patrick Zahraj $5.8K
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.7K—Over $1.0K
Will CD Moquegua win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.1K—No $165
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $2.2K—Over $2.5K
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $2.5K—Celtics $1.4K
Spread: Celtics (-30.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $3.2K—Bucks $112
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
same side · consensus Pittsburgh Panthers
—Pittsburgh Panthers $1.6K—Pittsburgh Panthers $1.5K
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.7K—Under $499
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Under $15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $273Bilibili Gaming $1.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $96——Bears $877
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $808—Over $14
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
—Giles Hussey $370—Giles Hussey $24
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177—Under $41
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $4—No $26