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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpHVABprimm
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)80% (626–160, n=786)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$440K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #669PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus79% (26 of 33 open)69% (131 of 191 open)no open consensus position50% (5 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Tennis +7 pts n=638, ROI +8%
  • MMA +14 pts n=20, ROI +3%
  • Soccer +7 pts n=39, ROI 0%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%84% of 703 at avg 78¢, ROI +8%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)4% (won 13% of 31)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)8% (won 57% of 56)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)18% (won 72% of 128)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)69% (won 95% of 488)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpHVABprimm
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Warriors $1.7KHeat $79——
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus UTSA
—Florida Atlantic $78—Florida Atlantic $24K
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $837——Ravens $4