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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6434–5955, n=12389) | 41% (3322–4804, n=8126) | 45% (10–12, n=22) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | -$465K | $5.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #281 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (24 of 34 open) | 73% (134 of 183 open) | 71% (701 of 986 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $407K | — | Yes $361 | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $74K | — | No $1.1K | — |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $13K | — | No $373 | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $88K | — | No $59 | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | — | Yes $70 | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | — | Yes $63 | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $1.0K | — | No $176 | — |