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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Jesetrading | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 52% (6551–6119, n=12670) | 74% (633–221, n=854) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $3.7M | $6.7K | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #925 | PM monthly #96 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 69% (262 of 382 open) | 67% (10 of 15 open) | 71% (58 of 82 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 74% of 454 at avg 68¢, ROI +7% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 20% (won 15% of 92) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 8% (won 47% of 36) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 7% (won 88% of 32) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 65% (won 95% of 294) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Jesetrading | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $32K | — | Yes $9.7K | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | — | — | No $337K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $24K | — | Yes $85 | — |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $595 | — | Under $6.6K |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Arsenal FC | — | Hull City AFC $2.5K | — | Hull City AFC $2.9K |