← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Multicoloured-Serf | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (574–717, n=1291) | 52% (6582–6102, n=12684) | 46% (276–319, n=595) | 50% (1107–1127, n=2234) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | -$330K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #44 | PM monthly #48 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 78% (102 of 131 open) | 50% (4 of 8 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 47% (won 100% of 100) | 41% (won 99% of 412) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 47% (won 100% of 101) | 50% (won 99% of 503) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 6% (won 100% of 13) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Multicoloured-Serf | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Warriors opposite sides · consensus Warriors | Warriors $729 | Warriors $31K | Heat $110K | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Warriors $2.6K | Warriors $7.5K | Heat $19K | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Warriors $6.6K | Heat $22K | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | Warriors $7.3K | Heat $4.6K | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | Warriors $8.5K | Heat $320 | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | Warriors $4.4K | Heat $130 | — |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.7K | Under $1.1K | — |