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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpS-WorksTeGeeLP
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)75% (2542–853, n=3395)51% (70–66, n=136)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$3.8M$586K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #15PM monthly #54PM monthly #386
Sides with the consensus83% (29 of 35 open)71% (105 of 148 open)75% (6 of 8 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%55% of 132 at avg 46¢, ROI +17%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)6% (won 14% of 145)19% (won 32% of 25)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)16% (won 48% of 367)38% (won 50% of 50)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 60% of 509)36% (won 66% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)55% (won 96% of 1235)8% (won 80% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpS-WorksTeGeeLP
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus T1
——Bilibili Gaming $744KT1 $1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
——Bilibili Gaming $151KT1 $8.9K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus T1
——T1 $863KT1 $91K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $80Bilibili Gaming $51K—