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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677LlamaEnjoyer
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)43% (10–13, n=23)87% (2688–402, n=3090)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$3.3M-$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #8Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus83% (40 of 48 open)72% (120 of 166 open)no open consensus position80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=720, ROI +6%
  • MMA +2 pts n=219, ROI +4%
  • NFL +2 pts n=202, ROI 0%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 2782 at avg 92¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 20% of 153)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)2% (won 66% of 64)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)2% (won 84% of 50)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)90% (won 100% of 2515)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677LlamaEnjoyer
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $103K76ers $1.0K——
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $13KNo $49K——
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $28776ers $752——
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $7.0KBulls $704——