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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)43% (10–13, n=23)60% (7281–4813, n=12094)
Consensus PnL$8.4M$1.4M$3.2M$57K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #515
Sides with the consensus89% (33 of 37 open)65% (143 of 220 open)no open consensus position75% (39 of 52 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%98% of 2634 at avg 63¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 89% of 166)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 96% of 525)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)34% (won 98% of 899)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)40% (won 100% of 1044)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14K—Yes $8
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12K—Over $7
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.8K—No $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872—Over $9
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $16KBills $77——
Altamura Societa' Sportiva SRL vs. Cavese 1919: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Under $35