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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677shineforever
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)45% (10–12, n=22)43% (90–117, n=207)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$5.3M$78K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #2PM monthly #228
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)65% (102 of 156 open)100% (1 of 1 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Geopolitics −7 pts, n=14
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%40% of 131 at avg 38¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)61% (won 4% of 80)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)2% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)2% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)35% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677shineforever
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $90KYes $1.6M—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $387—Yes $11K
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $146—Yes $9.8K
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $215—Yes $1.3K