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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1xyz.eww
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)63% (1095–632, n=1727)53% (18–16, n=34)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$4.6M$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #113PM monthly #904
Sides with the consensus71% (42 of 59 open)71% (140 of 197 open)72% (71 of 98 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +21 pts n=12, ROI +26%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%58% of 31 at avg 38¢, ROI +18%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)29% (won 22% of 9)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)45% (won 64% of 14)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)26% (won 88% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1xyz.eww
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16KNo $23K——
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Bulls $2.5K76ers $797——
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421K—No $346K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K—Yes $12K—
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $45KColts $63——
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $1.5KBulls $215——