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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorppapaebalprimm
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)46% (121–140, n=261)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$23K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #962PM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus89% (31 of 35 open)65% (99 of 152 open)0% (0 of 1 open)50% (5 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%93% of 134 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)9% (won 92% of 12)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)35% (won 94% of 47)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)38% (won 90% of 51)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 96% of 24)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorppapaebalprimm
West Virginia vs. Texas Tech
opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech
—West Virginia $108—Texas Tech $2.4K
Texas State vs. Oregon State
same side · consensus Texas State
—Texas State $420—Texas State $12K
Hawai'i vs. UTEP
same side · consensus Hawai'i
—Hawai'i $470—Hawai'i $10K