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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmsuitcase6628
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)no settled market
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$3.6M—
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #16PM monthly #46PM monthly #806
Sides with the consensus81% (29 of 36 open)72% (81 of 112 open)83% (10 of 12 open)83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)—
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)—
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmsuitcase6628
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.3K—Over $15K—
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $96—Buccaneers $485—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $17K—Coco Gauff $463
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $273—Bilibili Gaming $6.7K
Buccaneers vs. Bears
same side · consensus Bears
——Buccaneers $4.0KBuccaneers $1.3K
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.2K—Over $186