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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpquietparcel
Record (consensus markets)45% (549–663, n=1212)53% (5890–5273, n=11163)44% (6174–7765, n=13939)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M$37K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #22PM monthly #230
Sides with the consensus68% (30 of 44 open)70% (119 of 170 open)84% (167 of 198 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Mentions −4 pts, n=594
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%36% of 5067 at avg 39¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)60% (won 1% of 3032)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)2% (won 35% of 106)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)4% (won 60% of 183)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)34% (won 96% of 1746)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.