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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpomnibus-076daaquietparcel
Record (consensus markets)45% (553–663, n=1216)53% (5916–5289, n=11205)50% (15020–15050, n=30070)44% (6246–8039, n=14285)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M$3.0M$38K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #22PM monthly #55PM monthly #229
Sides with the consensus57% (20 of 35 open)71% (180 of 253 open)64% (98 of 154 open)82% (56 of 68 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Mentions −4 pts, n=594
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%36% of 5067 at avg 39¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)8% (won 60% of 899)60% (won 1% of 3032)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)21% (won 87% of 2444)2% (won 35% of 106)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)39% (won 95% of 4418)4% (won 60% of 183)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)32% (won 99% of 3709)34% (won 96% of 1746)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

47 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpomnibus-076daaquietparcel
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $8.8KUnder $15K—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $17K—Yes $2.1K—
Chennai Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova
opposite sides · consensus Polina Kudermetova
—Polina Kudermetova $16KOksana Selekhmeteva $646—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
—Arthur Fils $2.6KTomas Machac $1.1K—
Will FC Pohang Steelers win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.6KYes $51—
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.8KYes $325—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.7KYes $10—
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $365—
FC Seoul vs. The Cong - Viettel FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.3KYes $96—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $840—Yes $149—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $87Yes $749—
Taranto: Filippo Romano vs Peter Makk
opposite sides · consensus Filippo Romano
—Peter Makk $333Filippo Romano $246—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $379Yes $73—
Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $380Yes $23—
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Cavaliers $12Thunder $251—
W50 Heraklion: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Elena Korokozidi
opposite sides · consensus Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
—Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur $140Elena Korokozidi $25—
M25 Valencia: Aren Baybars vs Leonid Sheyngezikht
opposite sides · consensus Leonid Sheyngezikht
—Leonid Sheyngezikht $137Aren Baybars $22—
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $124Yes $17—
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - United21 Group B
opposite sides · consensus EYEBALLERS
—Esport Academy Copenhagen $3EYEBALLERS $130—
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $52Under $43—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Maria Sakkari
—Maria Sakkari $5Maya Joint $30—
W15 Monastir: Pauline Gloeckner vs Sophie Ehrenbergerova
opposite sides · consensus Pauline Gloeckner
—Pauline Gloeckner $14Sophie Ehrenbergerova $12—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22K—Yes $117—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $17K—Yes $1.7K—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.2KNo $11K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K—Yes $215—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $1.6K—
FC Pohang Steelers vs. Gamba Osaka: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $12KUnder $26—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.2KNo $1.7K—
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.4KNo $797—
Brisbane Bullets vs. Perth Wildcats
same side · consensus Brisbane Bullets
—Brisbane Bullets $4.5KBrisbane Bullets $1.0K—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2.6KYes $988—
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.8KYes $1.7K—
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.9KNo $289—
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.0KNo $84—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6K—Yes $69—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
—Daniil Medvedev $2.6KDaniil Medvedev $13—
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $730Yes $1.5K—
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $16—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7KNo $208—
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Nicolas Bruna
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Juan Bautista Torres $1.5KJuan Bautista Torres $219—
M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro
same side · consensus Giannicola Misasi
—Giannicola Misasi $82Giannicola Misasi $1.7K—
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.5KYes $65—
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3KNo $1—
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Alexander Zverev
—Alexander Zverev $1.1KAlexander Zverev $44—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K—Yes $59—
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.0KYes $1—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $914Over $11—
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $742No $108—
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $70Over $759—