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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | HONGKONGPEACH | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (545–663, n=1208) | 51% (371–360, n=731) | 66% (870–456, n=1326) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $33K | $4.1M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #845 | PM monthly #23 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (75 of 109 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (27 of 38 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 91% of 411 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 4% (won 73% of 15) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 39% (won 86% of 160) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 48% (won 95% of 197) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 9% (won 95% of 39) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.