← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 40% (3385–5153, n=8538) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 47% (14133–15621, n=29754) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | -$465K | $5.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #276 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (24 of 28 open) | 69% (360 of 518 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (31 of 49 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $407K | Yes $361 | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $78K | No $1.9K | — | — |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | No $372 | — | — |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | No $12K | Yes $3 | — | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | Yes $82 | — | — |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.3K | Yes $58 | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $2.4K | No $101 | — | — |