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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Jesetrading | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 74% (633–221, n=854) | 50% (1144–1155, n=2299) | 47% (14379–15895, n=30274) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $6.7K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #926 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 67% (10 of 15 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 46% (12 of 26 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 74% of 454 at avg 68¢, ROI +7% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 20% (won 15% of 92) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 8% (won 47% of 36) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 7% (won 88% of 32) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 65% (won 95% of 294) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Jesetrading | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $32K | Yes $9.7K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $24K | Yes $85 | — | — |