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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankMadridTimeRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)48% (1052–1121, n=2173)48% (14163–15644, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$7.9M-$13K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #953PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus85% (28 of 33 open)39% (15 of 38 open)55% (31 of 56 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 100% of 26)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)17% (won 100% of 85)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)19% (won 100% of 94)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)59% (won 100% of 296)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankMadridTimeRN1
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $29Over $1.2K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $10Over $1.1K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $228Under $423
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli
same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
—Thiago Seyboth Wild $7.4KThiago Seyboth Wild $12K
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
same side · consensus James Kent Trotter
—James Kent Trotter $3.5KJames Kent Trotter $10K
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $198No $3.6K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $573Over $149
South Carolina State vs. Howard
same side · consensus South Carolina State
—Howard $47Howard $347
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $105Southern Miss $26