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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankMadridTimeprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)49% (955–1002, n=1957)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$20K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #563PM monthly #46PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus82% (23 of 28 open)51% (123 of 242 open)no open consensus position65% (129 of 198 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)5% (won 100% of 26)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)17% (won 100% of 85)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)19% (won 100% of 94)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)59% (won 100% of 296)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

57 on the same side, 47 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankMadridTimeprimmRN1
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
—KKS Lech Poznań $2.5K—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $19K
Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $82—Yes $20K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $37—Yes $12K
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $2.1K—Yes $9.6K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $960—Over $9.2K
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $148—Over $10K
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $5.8K—Yes $1.2K
Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
opposite sides · consensus Carole Monnet
—Leyre Romero Gormaz $455—Carole Monnet $6.1K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.0K—Yes $4.5K
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.1K—Over $4.2K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1—Over $6.0K
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Daniel Milavsky $2.2K—Max Hans Rehberg $3.6K
Will Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $327—No $4.8K
Will AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $781—No $4.0K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $49—Over $4.0K
FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $803—Over $3.0K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $466—Over $2.9K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $66—Under $3.0K
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $15—Under $3.0K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $135—Under $2.4K
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $56—Over $2.0K
Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.4K—No $262
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8—Yes $1.4K
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.2K—Yes $47
Exact Score: NEC 3 - 1 AS Omónoia Leukosías?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $546—Yes $689
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3—Over $912
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $18—Yes $881
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AC Sparta Praha
—AFC Bournemouth $85—AC Sparta Praha $785
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $164—Yes $690
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $71—Over $760
Will Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $187—No $581
Will Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $229—No $506
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $400—Over $300
Will Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $197—No $400
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $38—Yes $496
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4—Under $173
AC Milan leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $168—Yes $8
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $171—Over $2
Spread: NEC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AS Omónoia Leukosías
—NEC $139—AS Omónoia Leukosías $4
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2—Under $107
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $24—Under $46
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 1 - 2 Qairat FK?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $44—Yes $26
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 0 - 2 Qairat FK?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $26—Yes $10
Exact Score: Aarhus GF 0 - 0 SC Braga?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1—No $21
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 3 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14—Yes $6
Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 3 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3—Yes $5
Will Mjällby AIF vs. FK Borac Banja Luka end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2—No $5
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $10K—No $66K
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $27K—No $47K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
—Taylor Fritz $25K—Taylor Fritz $38K