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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpMadridTimeRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)46% (1332–1580, n=2912)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$42K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #171PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)65% (103 of 158 open)59% (22 of 37 open)62% (16 of 26 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 792 at avg 71¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)7% (won 100% of 58)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)20% (won 100% of 158)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)15% (won 100% of 120)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)58% (won 100% of 456)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpMadridTimeRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
—Alexandra Eala $6.8KClaire Liu $17KClaire Liu $12K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $2.4KYes $4.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851—Yes $326
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Liverpool FC
—Liverpool FC $1.0KCrystal Palace FC $52—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $742Yes $4—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Riga FC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $11Yes $90—
Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $95Yes $2—
Will SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $73Yes $11—
Exact Score: CD Castellón 0 - 0 SD Eibar?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $61Yes $20—
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $117KNo $21K—
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $30KNo $19K—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $30KNo $651—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $16KNo $699—
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.2KNo $298—
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $4.0K—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—No $2.2KNo $171—
Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $22—
Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3KOver $50—
FC København vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KUnder $66—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $813No $501—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $797No $16—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $20
Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. PSV end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $468No $248—
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $628No $67—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $272Over $19—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $41
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $197Over $8—
Will UD Logroñés win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $80No $55—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $29
Reus FC Reddis vs. Barakaldo CF: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $43Over $8—
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO5) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
same side · consensus MOUZ
—TheMongolz $2TheMongolz $3—