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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Malfunction. | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 98% (12029–294, n=12323) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $639K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #268 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (27 of 35 open) | no open consensus position | 53% (8 of 15 open) | 56% (43 of 77 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −6 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 96% of 11549 at avg 96¢, ROI 0% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 2% (won 18% of 235) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 2% (won 48% of 223) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 2% (won 56% of 177) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 95% (won 99% of 10914) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Malfunction. | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $837 | — | Ravens $4 | Jaguars $2.9K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.1K | — | Ravens $510 | Jaguars $180 |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $292K | — | — | Jaguars $8.0K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $194K | — | — | Jaguars $2.0K |
| Spread: James Madison (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss | — | — | James Madison $2.2K | Southern Miss $616 |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.5K | Over $890 |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.8K | Over $244 |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $640 | Over $1.3K |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $741 | Under $691 |
| Spread: UTSA (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic | — | — | Florida Atlantic $1.1K | UTSA $226 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $92K | — | — | Ravens $3.3K |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | Warriors $2.0K | — | — | Warriors $520 |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.3K | — | Over $65 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $293 | — | — | Ravens $636 |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss same side · consensus James Madison | — | — | Southern Miss $47 | Southern Miss $498 |