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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankNOO-YesprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)38% (5–8, n=13)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$14K$3.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #417PM monthly #44PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus83% (29 of 35 open)50% (2 of 4 open)40% (2 of 5 open)58% (38 of 66 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%42% of 12 at avg 38¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)50% (won 17% of 6)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)17% (won 50% of 2)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)25% (won 67% of 3)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)8% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankNOO-YesprimmRN1
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $12K—Bears $5.8KBears $27K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.3K—Over $16K—
Buccaneers vs. Bears
opposite sides · consensus Bears
——Buccaneers $1.5KBears $8.0K
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Bears $28Buccaneers $2.7K
Jazz vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $45K—Timberwolves $49K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $9.8KOver $722
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $96——Bears $877