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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankRN1Robbb
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)83% (2411–480, n=2891)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$14.8M$98K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #32 + pinnedwas PM monthly #996
Sides with the consensus89% (31 of 35 open)60% (18 of 30 open)81% (113 of 140 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——College Football −23 pts, n=36
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%83% of 1863 at avg 78¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 10% of 139)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)22% (won 94% of 5704)6% (won 34% of 116)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)35% (won 99% of 9204)12% (won 68% of 220)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8622)75% (won 96% of 1388)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankRN1Robbb
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409K—No $450
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $292K—Yes $1.0K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $76K—Yes $2.1K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4K—No $177