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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1Robbb
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)83% (2411–480, n=2891)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$14.8M$94K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #30 + pinnedwas PM monthly #996
Sides with the consensus71% (42 of 59 open)71% (137 of 194 open)58% (91 of 157 open)80% (86 of 107 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—College Football −23 pts, n=36
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%83% of 1863 at avg 78¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 10% of 139)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)6% (won 34% of 116)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)12% (won 68% of 220)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)75% (won 96% of 1388)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

40 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1Robbb
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16KNo $23KYes $1.0K—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Bulls $2.5K76ers $79776ers $371—
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179K—Cowboys $1.9K—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $110K—No $2.5K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $101K—Cowboys $1.9K—
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $67K—Eagles $20—
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $37K—Eagles $8.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K—Eagles $1.6K—
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $320Rams $11K—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $8.5KUnder $22—
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $6.6KOlympique de Marseille $1—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.3KYes $590—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0K—
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Schalke 04
—FC Schalke 04 $2.8KTSG 1899 Hoffenheim $468—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
—Brown Bears $299Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.1K—
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3KNo $2—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan Broncos
—Campbell Fighting Camels $353Western Michigan Broncos $678—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
—Arkansas Razorbacks $231Virginia Cavaliers $564—
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $240—76ers $155—
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
—Arkansas Razorbacks $349Virginia Cavaliers $2—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $334Under $7—
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $284No $12—
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $155Under $95—
Will FC Utrecht vs. NEC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $241Yes $3—
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas Razorbacks
—Arkansas Razorbacks $6Virginia Cavaliers $49—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421K——No $463
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K——Yes $1.0K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $74K——Yes $2.0K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $45KColts $63——
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $18KNo $14K—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $20KUnder $11K—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $18KUnder $12K—
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $18K—Chiefs $1.6K—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $3.6K—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $7.1KOver $10K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CD Cobresal $13KCD Cobresal $3.5K—
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $9.2KClub Atlético de Madrid $129—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.7KNo $2.3K—
Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.9KNo $2.3K—
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.4KNo $2.9K—
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3.8KYes $1.8K—