← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | Venusian | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 66% (875–457, n=1332) | 47% (14202–15801, n=30003) | 54% (613–524, n=1137) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $4.1M | $14.8M | $22K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | PM monthly #330 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (158 of 189 open) | 71% (95 of 133 open) | 54% (19 of 35 open) | 63% (41 of 65 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 168 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 13% (won 100% of 21) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 17% (won 100% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 21% (won 100% of 35) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 49% (won 100% of 83) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.