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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankbeachboy400gringo00omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)45% (526–640, n=1166)68% (43–20, n=63)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (14291–14380, n=28671)
Consensus PnL$10.6M$5.8M$3.5M$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #19PM monthly #27
Sides with the consensus73% (72 of 98 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position54% (39 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%91% of 10809 at avg 60¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 85% of 53)3% (won 17% of 6)0%8% (won 59% of 872)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 192)29% (won 56% of 62)0%21% (won 86% of 2312)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 187)54% (won 51% of 115)100% (won 86% of 7)38% (won 94% of 4141)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)0%32% (won 99% of 3484)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankbeachboy400gringo00omnibus-076daa
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $465K——Broncos $687
Celtics vs. Magic
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Magic $24K——Celtics $115
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $272K——Yes $2.9K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $77K——Yes $1.8K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $73K——Yes $116
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28K——Yes $2.9K