← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | buoys | joseph00677 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 48% (878–960, n=1838) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 51% (28105–27112, n=55217) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $99K | $5.3M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #975 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (32 of 36 open) | 63% (111 of 175 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 64% (44 of 69 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Science −12 pts, n=19 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 46% of 1752 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 42% (won 12% of 735) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 7% (won 99% of 3291) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 47% of 286) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 18% (won 100% of 9212) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 18% (won 67% of 317) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 24% (won 91% of 414) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 56% (won 100% of 27970) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | buoys | joseph00677 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $76K | Yes $8.3K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | Yes $14 | — | — |