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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | capnjack1497 | Flaznorp | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 31% (51–111, n=162) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | -$50K | $4.1M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #665 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #67 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (31 of 35 open) | no open consensus position | 65% (104 of 161 open) | 56% (5 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 47% of 111 at avg 41¢, ROI +15% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 16% of 32) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 29% (won 44% of 32) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 42% (won 70% of 47) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 0% | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | capnjack1497 | Flaznorp | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Virginia vs. Texas Tech opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech | — | — | West Virginia $108 | Texas Tech $2.4K |
| Texas State vs. Oregon State same side · consensus Texas State | — | — | Texas State $432 | Texas State $12K |
| Hawai'i vs. UTEP same side · consensus Hawai'i | — | — | Hawai'i $470 | Hawai'i $6.1K |