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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankesticamosFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (161–142, n=303)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$23K$4.1M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #833PM monthly #9PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus89% (42 of 47 open)no open consensus position71% (110 of 154 open)70% (16 of 23 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +3 pts n=82, ROI −1%
  • MMA +9 pts n=26, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%69% of 270 at avg 66¢, ROI +3%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)19% (won 18% of 50)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)8% (won 55% of 22)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)14% (won 59% of 39)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)59% (won 90% of 159)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankesticamosFlaznorpprimm
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $295K—No $121K—
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $119K——Colts $5.7K
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $5.5KChiefs $50K