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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | esticamos | joseph00677 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 53% (161–142, n=303) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 50% (1244–1255, n=2499) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $23K | $3.3M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #839 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #56 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (38 of 49 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 75% (15 of 20 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 69% of 270 at avg 66¢, ROI +3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 19% (won 18% of 50) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 8% (won 55% of 22) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 14% (won 59% of 39) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 59% (won 90% of 159) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | esticamos | joseph00677 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $219K | — | — | Over $19K |
| Giants vs. Eagles opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Giants $179K | — | — | Eagles $951 |
| Spread: Giants (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Giants $107K | — | — | Eagles $95 |
| Cowboys vs. Colts same side · consensus Cowboys | Colts $114K | — | — | Colts $5.1K |