Giants vs. Eagles

26 of 38 top Polymarket traders hold Giants (68%) · Giants at 59¢ · $622K held · ends Nov 8

Giants59¢Eagles41¢Ends Sun, Nov 8, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Giants

Consensus Traders

Giants 68%

5 arb excluded

Total Value

$622.2K

Combined PnL

$3.1K

Smart Money Entry

58.7¢ → 58.5¢

+0% since entry · 26 traders

Research grade

NeutralGiants at 59%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Giants

26 of 38 top traders (68%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Giants59%

Eagles42%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Eagles12 traders

Total Value$297.8K

Total Shares718,595

Combined PnL+$4.0K

Giants26 traders

Total Value$303.5K

Total Shares518,108

Combined PnL-$913.55

Eagles — 32%Giants — 68%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
KC Kch-TempCTR	Eaglesavg 41.6¢	$219.0K	$218.4K	+$3.2K	51% 233-227 (460)
0X 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465	Giantsavg 58.2¢	$106.9K	$107.5K	+$573.1	53% 6334-5615 (11949)
nigiri99	Giantsavg 58.4¢	$27.3K	$27.4K	+$69.74	46% 8770-10464 (19234)
VeryLucky888	Giantsavg 59¢	$32.7K	$26.3K	-$219.45	58% 47904-34520 (82424)
FE ferrariChampions2026	Giantsavg 60¢	$26.4K	$25.8K	-$660.38	42% 8192-11384 (19576)
0X 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3	Giantsavg 59¢	$23.7K	$23.5K	-$201.07	50% 2796-2767 (5563)
MU Multicoloured-SerfCTR	Eaglesavg 40¢	$2.3K	$23.0K	+$832.76	48% 405-446 (851)
HI hi774c	Giantsavg 58.7¢	$16.8K	$16.7K	-$46.28	46% 5332-6170 (11502)
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANCTR	Eaglesavg 42.7¢	$17.1K	$16.6K	-$492.32	51% 1005-973 (1978)
65 6512395314597884	Giantsavg 58¢	$15.4K	$15.6K	+$133	51% 5014-4884 (9898)
HO HomeRunHazard	Giantsavg 59¢	$15.7K	$15.5K	-$132.71	54% 18557-15589 (34146)
PainfulvoidCTR	Eaglesavg 40.7¢	$15.2K	$15.1K	+$186.73	54% 1878-1618 (3496)
TA takeormake	Giantsavg 60¢	$14.3K	$14.2K	-$119.05	52% 5134-4713 (9847)
RO robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18CTR	Eaglesavg 41.4¢	$13.1K	$13.2K	+$38.51	50% 7740-7873 (15613)
CH ChonkVision	Giantsavg 59¢	$11.8K	$11.7K	-$100	55% 241-194 (435)
0x16bb9951a36fce71e2ef57890b786145e0ba8492CTR	Eaglesavg 40.7¢	$9.9K	$10.1K	+$188.97	49% 797-827 (1624)
BA Bagwell306ARB<$100	Eaglesavg 41¢	$7.0K	$7.1K	+$25	57% 4284-3214 (7498)
└ Eagles leg	Eaglesavg 41¢	$4.1K	$4.1K	+$49.99
└ Giants leg	Giantsavg 59¢	$2.9K	$2.9K	-$24.99
BI biying88888ARB<$100	Eaglesavg 40.7¢	$7.0K	$7.0K	+$67.11	66% 173-91 (264)
└ Eagles leg	Eaglesavg 40.7¢	$5.5K	$5.6K	+$104.78
└ Giants leg	Giantsavg 60¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	-$37.66
38 38791873984189	Giantsavg 59.1¢	$8.4K	$5.7K	-$54.59	48% 63191-68207 (131398)
DA darkumbreon88	Giantsavg 60.6¢	$5.7K	$5.6K	-$102.41	64% 2043-1136 (3179)
SP SPLPBARB<$100	Giantsavg 59¢	$3.3K	$3.4K	+$33.52	24% 806-2607 (3413)
└ Giants leg	Giantsavg 59¢	$2.0K	$2.0K	-$16.76
└ Eagles leg	Eaglesavg 40¢	$1.3K	$1.4K	+$50.28
NM NM-PARB<$100	Giantsavg 59¢	$2.3K	$2.3K	+$6.28	64% 10183-5729 (15912)
└ Giants leg	Giantsavg 59¢	$1.8K	$1.8K	-$14.99
└ Eagles leg	Eaglesavg 39.8¢	$497.97	$519.24	+$21.27
SE sentrio	Giantsavg 59.1¢	$1.8K	$1.8K	-$17.48	50% 26504-26107 (52611)
DO DolphinBaller	Giantsavg 59¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	-$12.5	43% 115-152 (267)
GC GC-PARB<$100	Giantsavg 58.8¢	$1.2K	$1.2K	+$8.17	64% 10184-5783 (15967)
└ Giants leg	Giantsavg 58.8¢	$945.53	$941.07	-$4.46
└ Eagles leg	Eaglesavg 39.7¢	$280.02	$292.65	+$12.63

Kch-TempCTR

Eagles

Invested

$219,013.75

Value

$218.4K

PnL

+$3.2K

Record

51%

233-227 (460)

0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465

Giants

Invested

$106,884.93

Value

$107.5K

PnL

+$573.1

Record

53%

6334-5615 (11949)

nigiri99

Giants

Invested

$27,324.64

Value

$27.4K

PnL

+$69.74

Record

46%

8770-10464 (19234)

VeryLucky888

Giants

Invested

$32,652.75

Value

$26.3K

PnL

-$219.45

Record

58%

47904-34520 (82424)

ferrariChampions2026

Giants

Invested

$26,415.33

Value

$25.8K

PnL

-$660.38

Record

42%

8192-11384 (19576)

0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3

Giants

Invested

$23,726.35

Value

$23.5K

PnL

-$201.07

Record

50%

2796-2767 (5563)

Multicoloured-SerfCTR

Eagles

Invested

$2,340.54

Value

$23.0K

PnL

+$832.76

Record

48%

405-446 (851)

hi774c

Giants

Invested

$16,791.59

Value

$16.7K

PnL

-$46.28

Record

46%

5332-6170 (11502)

PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANCTR

Eagles

Invested

$17,092.32

Value

$16.6K

PnL

-$492.32

Record

51%

1005-973 (1978)

6512395314597884

Giants

Invested

$15,428

Value

$15.6K

PnL

+$133

Record

51%

5014-4884 (9898)

HomeRunHazard

Giants

Invested

$15,659.45

Value

$15.5K

PnL

-$132.71

Record

54%

18557-15589 (34146)

PainfulvoidCTR

Eagles

Invested

$15,204.23

Value

$15.1K

PnL

+$186.73

Record

54%

1878-1618 (3496)

takeormake

Giants

Invested

$14,286

Value

$14.2K

PnL

-$119.05

Record

52%

5134-4713 (9847)

robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18CTR

Eagles

Invested

$13,148.62

Value

$13.2K

PnL

+$38.51

Record

50%

7740-7873 (15613)

ChonkVision

Giants

Invested

$11,800

Value

$11.7K

PnL

-$100

Record

55%

241-194 (435)

0x16bb9951a36fce71e2ef57890b786145e0ba8492CTR

Eagles

Invested

$9,865.01

Value

$10.1K

PnL

+$188.97

Record

49%

797-827 (1624)

Bagwell306ARB<$100

Eagles

Invested

$7,048.59

Value

$7.1K

PnL

+$25

Record

57%

4284-3214 (7498)

Both legs:

Eagles$4,099.1841¢+$49.99

Giants$2,949.4159¢-$24.99

biying88888ARB<$100

Eagles

Invested

$6,976.52

Value

$7.0K

PnL

+$67.11

Record

66%

173-91 (264)

Both legs:

Eagles$5,469.9240.7¢+$104.78

Giants$1,506.660¢-$37.66

38791873984189

Giants

Invested

$8,415.21

Value

$5.7K

PnL

-$54.59

Record

48%

63191-68207 (131398)

darkumbreon88

Giants

Invested

$5,653.45

Value

$5.6K

PnL

-$102.41

Record

64%

2043-1136 (3179)

SPLPBARB<$100

Giants

Invested

$3,318.45

Value

$3.4K

PnL

+$33.52

Record

24%

806-2607 (3413)

Both legs:

Giants$1,977.6859¢-$16.76

Eagles$1,340.7740¢+$50.28

NM-PARB<$100

Giants

Invested

$2,267.96

Value

$2.3K

PnL

+$6.28

Record

64%

10183-5729 (15912)

Both legs:

Giants$1,769.9959¢-$14.99

Eagles$497.9739.8¢+$21.27

sentrio

Giants

Invested

$1,770.8

Value

$1.8K

PnL

-$17.48

Record

50%

26504-26107 (52611)

DolphinBaller

Giants

Invested

$1,475

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$12.5

Record

43%

115-152 (267)

GC-PARB<$100

Giants

Invested

$1,225.55

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$8.17

Record

64%

10184-5783 (15967)

Both legs:

Giants$945.5358.8¢-$4.46

Eagles$280.0239.7¢+$12.63

Research grade

NeutralGiants at 59%

Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

Smart Money Signal

Giants

26 of 38 top traders (68%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Giants wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance60.7%

58.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$64.73

Max Loss

-$100.00

164.7

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.