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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FKMYFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)72% (46–18, n=64)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M$35K$1.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #728PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)57% (4 of 7 open)100% (1 of 1 open)72% (86 of 120 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • MMA +22 pts n=48, ROI +21%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic———Other Sports −28 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%90% of 48 at avg 67¢, ROI +21%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)6% (won 67% of 3)29% (won 11% of 403)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)10% (won 100% of 5)16% (won 38% of 228)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)38% (won 83% of 18)15% (won 62% of 214)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)46% (won 95% of 22)40% (won 94% of 553)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FKMYFlaznorp
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $148—Yes $2.7K
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
—Janice Tjen $34K—Janice Tjen $8.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Under $13K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
—Liam Broady $1.4K—Liam Broady $698