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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FKMYprimm
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)72% (41–16, n=57)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.1M$21K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #3was PM monthly #87PM monthly #755PM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus89% (31 of 35 open)70% (14 of 20 open)100% (2 of 2 open)50% (5 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • MMA +22 pts n=48, ROI +21%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—90% of 48 at avg 67¢, ROI +21%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—6% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—10% (won 100% of 5)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—38% (won 83% of 18)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—46% (won 95% of 22)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FKMYprimm
Spread: Hawai'i (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP
—UTEP $50K—Hawai'i $318
West Virginia vs. Texas Tech
opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech
—West Virginia $8.4K—Texas Tech $2.4K
Spread: Hawai'i (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP
—UTEP $4.1K—Hawai'i $143
Spread: Texas Tech (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $2.8K—West Virginia $138
Spread: Texas Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $103—West Virginia $953
Wyoming vs. UNLV
same side · consensus Wyoming
—Wyoming $31K—Wyoming $33K
Texas State vs. Oregon State
same side · consensus Texas State
—Texas State $17K—Texas State $12K
Hawai'i vs. UTEP
same side · consensus Hawai'i
—Hawai'i $6.8K—Hawai'i $10K