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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026JesetradingRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)70% (727–313, n=1040)48% (19574–21323, n=40897)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.4M$6.7K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #959PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)70% (7 of 10 open)63% (45 of 71 open)54% (15 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%74% of 464 at avg 68¢, ROI +6%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)20% (won 15% of 95)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)8% (won 46% of 37)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)7% (won 85% of 34)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)64% (won 95% of 298)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026JesetradingRN1
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $35K—Yes $9.7K—
Hersonissos 3: Oleksii Krutykh vs Oskari Paldanius
opposite sides · consensus Oleksii Krutykh
—Oleksii Krutykh $478—Oskari Paldanius $19K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K
Hersonissos 3: Alexandre Reco vs Lorenzo Carboni
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Carboni
—Lorenzo Carboni $30—Alexandre Reco $83
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $26K—Yes $91—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360