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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1THG.
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)35% (3649–6671, n=10320)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)56% (27385–21438, n=48823)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.0M$14.8M$26K
Tracked asPM monthly #3was PM monthly #870PM monthly #29 + pinnedwas PM monthly #902
Sides with the consensus82% (23 of 28 open)70% (30 of 43 open)63% (128 of 204 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • Crypto +14 pts n=10417, ROI +4%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10417 at avg 85¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)—10% (won 57% of 2593)0% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)—22% (won 94% of 5682)26% (won 99% of 2670)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)—35% (won 99% of 9181)0% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)—33% (won 100% of 8519)74% (won 100% of 7741)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1THG.
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.3KOver $1.5K—
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Over $2.0K—
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.3KUnder $180—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
—Taylor Fritz $112KTaylor Fritz $38K—
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16KSport Lisboa e Benfica $19K—
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic
same side · consensus Filip Misolic
—Filip Misolic $18KFilip Misolic $8.4K—
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Julia Riera
—Julia Riera $15KJulia Riera $8.0K—
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $22KUnder $765—
Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
same side · consensus Carole Monnet
—Carole Monnet $11KCarole Monnet $6.1K—
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
same side · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
—Ferencvárosi TC $13KFerencvárosi TC $3.6K—
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)
same side · consensus AC Sparta Praha
—AC Sparta Praha $10KAC Sparta Praha $785—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $2.4KOver $8.5K—
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
same side · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Max Hans Rehberg $3.8KMax Hans Rehberg $3.6K—
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.9KUnder $54—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.2KOver $360—
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $907Under $39—
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $120Over $722—
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)
same side · consensus GNK Dinamo Zagreb
—GNK Dinamo Zagreb $137GNK Dinamo Zagreb $146—