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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026fkALG2FalconsTESndb1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)79% (1403–380, n=1783)63% (1095–632, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$1.0M$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #152PM monthly #113
Sides with the consensus76% (41 of 54 open)57% (50 of 87 open)no open consensus position72% (71 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • Esports +22 pts n=1282, ROI +7%
  • NBA +13 pts n=512, ROI +6%
Weakest topic———NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—92% of 1798 at avg 73¢, ROI +7%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—5% (won 73% of 83)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—17% (won 84% of 298)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—25% (won 88% of 448)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—54% (won 98% of 969)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026fkALG2FalconsTESndb1
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $208KOver $19K——
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179KCowboys $6.9K——
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49KCowboys $20K——
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $68KEagles $53——
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $21KJets $11K——
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Rams $13KCommanders $18K——
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421K——No $346K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K——Yes $12K
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $37KGiants $8.0K——
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24KColts $8.8K——
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $18KChiefs $248——