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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ndb1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)64% (1101–632, n=1733)51% (28265–27298, n=55563)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M$4.6M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #109PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)57% (4 of 7 open)73% (75 of 103 open)64% (47 of 73 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 187)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)19% (won 39% of 269)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 57% of 328)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)44% (won 94% of 622)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ndb1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Under $7.6K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $425K—No $350K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K—Yes $12K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Under $20K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $148—No $15K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $22—Yes $3.9K