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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | fourcoin15m | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 36% (5940–10663, n=16603) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 48% (17936–19365, n=37301) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $9.4K | $3.3M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #590 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (37 of 43 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 45% (29 of 64 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Weather −1 pts, n=116 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 47% of 531 at avg 47¢, ROI +27% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 44% (won 5% of 232) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 9% (won 37% of 46) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 9% (won 67% of 46) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 90% of 207) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | fourcoin15m | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans vs. Chargers opposite sides · consensus Texans | Chargers $294K | — | — | Texans $8.5K |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Bulls $103K | — | — | 76ers $1.0K |
| 76ers vs. Bulls opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Bulls $7.0K | — | — | 76ers $1.1K |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) same side · consensus Patriots | Packers $143K | — | — | Packers $489 |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | Packers $104K | — | — | Packers $4.0K |