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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | UpTheBlues | xxNyx | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 50% (26157–25785, n=51942) | 86% (1785–293, n=2078) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $3.3M | $1.4M | $88K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #10 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (29 of 36 open) | no open consensus position | 66% (41 of 62 open) | 93% (52 of 56 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Tech −1 pts, n=56 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% | 81% of 1891 at avg 79¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 7% (won 99% of 3291) | 13% (won 9% of 251) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 18% (won 100% of 9212) | 5% (won 52% of 91) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) | 6% (won 57% of 109) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 56% (won 100% of 27970) | 76% (won 97% of 1440) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | UpTheBlues | xxNyx |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $29K | — | — | Yes $2.0K |