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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | pollo07 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 36% (278–487, n=765) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $5.6M | $115K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #76 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (74 of 114 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (16 of 25 open) | 60% (121 of 203 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Elections −3 pts, n=70 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 45% of 406 at avg 46¢, ROI +7% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 51% (won 1% of 207) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 3% (won 45% of 11) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 2% (won 44% of 9) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 96% of 179) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | pollo07 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $287K | — | No $4.5K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.2K | — | No $1.1K | — |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus Yes | No $10K | — | — | No $48K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $42K | — | No $12K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $607 | — | No $2.7K | — |