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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | morito181 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 69% (532–242, n=774) | 65% (886–468, n=1354) | 47% (13362–14874, n=28236) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $1.1M | $4.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #118 + pinned | PM monthly #143 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 80% (135 of 168 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 67% (117 of 175 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 22% (won 6% of 202) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 5% (won 43% of 49) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 67% (won 96% of 612) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | morito181 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $482K | Yes $15K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $15K | Yes $1.8K | — | — |