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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | sainttroplay | Stone1337 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 54% (110–93, n=203) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $4.1M | $4.4M | -$25K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #26 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #845 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (68 of 113 open) | 70% (26 of 37 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | Esports −3 pts, n=163 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 55% of 198 at avg 56¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% | 5% (won 33% of 9) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 25% (won 40% of 50) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 56% (won 57% of 111) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 0% | 14% (won 82% of 28) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.