← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 50% (14415–14465, n=28880) |
| Consensus PnL | $10.6M | $4.4M | $13.4M | $3.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #27 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (57 of 71 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (14 of 25 open) | 72% (13 of 18 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 91% of 10843 at avg 60¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 8% (won 59% of 873) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 21% (won 86% of 2319) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 38% (won 94% of 4154) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 32% (won 99% of 3497) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senators vs. Ducks: O/U 8.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $10 | Under $9 |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $161K | — | Commanders $3.6K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $85K | — | — | Yes $2.0K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $30K | — | — | Yes $3.0K |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $32K | — | Commanders $125 | — |
| Taipei: Yanki Erel vs Masamichi Imamura same side · consensus Yanki Erel | — | — | Yanki Erel $12K | Yanki Erel $35 |
| Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Christian Langmo same side · consensus Christian Langmo | — | — | Jake Delaney $2.4K | Jake Delaney $2 |
| Spread: Lakers (-10.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | — | Raptors $4 | Raptors $308 |