← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Brokie | ndb1 | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (394–361, n=755) | 64% (1102–633, n=1735) | 48% (19552–21306, n=40858) | 75% (2556–858, n=3414) |
| Consensus PnL | $286K | $4.6M | $14.9M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #704 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #33 + pinned | PM monthly #66 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (49 of 61 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | 61% (17 of 28 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Economy −6 pts, n=17 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 60% of 602 at avg 54¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 33% (won 13% of 198) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 54% of 70) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 77% of 87) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 95% of 247) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Brokie | ndb1 | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.9K | No $24K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $10K | Yes $1.7K | — | — |