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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BrokieprimmS-Worksweflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)52% (394–361, n=755)47% (1405–1574, n=2979)75% (2556–858, n=3414)52% (414–381, n=795)
Consensus PnL$286K$3.6M$3.6M$2.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #704PM monthly #40PM monthly #66Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus80% (49 of 61 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +3 pts n=601, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topicEconomy −6 pts, n=17—Crypto −1 pts, n=46Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won60% of 602 at avg 54¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%55% of 745 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢33% (won 13% of 198)5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 14% of 145)3% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 54% of 70)41% (won 99% of 421)16% (won 48% of 367)41% (won 50% of 302)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 77% of 87)49% (won 99% of 508)23% (won 60% of 509)51% (won 58% of 380)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 95% of 247)5% (won 100% of 47)55% (won 96% of 1235)5% (won 89% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.