← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BunCaCham | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (2614–70, n=2684) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$132K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #839 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (7 of 13 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) | 46% (6 of 13 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Esports ±0 pts, n=908 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 2645 at avg 97¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 12% of 25) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 70% of 27) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 65% of 31) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 97% (won 99% of 2562) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.