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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
C03BBreakTheBankRN1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)87% (689–100, n=789)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$297K$10.6M$13.4M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #466PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus91% (10 of 11 open)73% (72 of 99 open)67% (22 of 33 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicOther Sports −2 pts, n=50——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won92% of 798 at avg 89¢, ROI +1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 16% of 51)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 70% of 10)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 68% of 38)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up88% (won 99% of 699)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketC03BBreakTheBankRN1beachboy4
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—