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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCORGIIbeachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (3266–2995, n=6261)61% (393–247, n=640)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12984–14343, n=27327)
Consensus PnL$166K$4.5M$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #473PM monthly #68was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus51% (46 of 90 open)50% (1 of 2 open)100% (2 of 2 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won85% of 2959 at avg 68¢, ROI +5%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 24% of 437)9% (won 92% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 74% of 239)56% (won 99% of 223)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 93% of 535)33% (won 100% of 133)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 99% of 1748)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCORGIIbeachboy4RN1
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $454—Yes $68—