Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedbeachboy4CORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)52% (3263–2993, n=6256)68% (43–20, n=63)62% (393–246, n=639)50% (986–968, n=1954)
Consensus PnL$166K$5.8M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #473was PM monthly #24PM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus49% (46 of 93 open)100% (2 of 2 open)33% (1 of 3 open)50% (4 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won85% of 2945 at avg 68¢, ROI +5%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 25% of 436)3% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 74% of 237)29% (won 56% of 62)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 93% of 526)54% (won 51% of 115)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 99% of 1746)14% (won 86% of 29)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedbeachboy4CORGIIprimm
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $454Yes $68——